Expect 6.5 percent growth in China, says Vontobel CIOExpect 6.5 percent growth in China, says Vontobel CIOExpect 6.5 percent growth in China, says Vontobel CIO
Lars Kalbreier, CIO at Vontobel Wealth Management, expects the measures taken by Beijing will give a boost to its slowing economy. But he also warns that China cannot decouple from the rest of the world.
Hannah Wise
Fast-growing job platform gets a boost – and job market knowledge
Canadian start-up Neuvoo was founded by two Swiss friends and a Canadian. The platform posts around 30 million jobs and gets 70 million global hits every month. After announcing a new deal with the Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec, it expects to reach over 100 million visitors by January 2020. Neuvoo Co-Founder Maxime Droux talks about his plans and his views on the Swiss job market.
Hannah Wise
Fiscal stimulus mantra spreads
Governments of developed countries are facing growing calls to step up spending as their central banks run out of options for stoking growth. The problem, says Francis Scotland, director of global macro research at Brandywine Global, is that the world’s two biggest spenders—the U.S. and China—are already “tapped out.”
Hannah Wise
UBP: “We are still expecting earnings growth in Switzerland”
Despite the recent downgrading of Swiss stocks, low interest rates, and a slight uptick in the Swiss franc, Eleanor Taylor Jolidon, co-head of Swiss and global equity at UBP, sees opportunity for investors who turn to Switzerland. “Companies manage to adapt regardless of the strong Swiss franc,” she says. In her view, there’s a lot of potential upside for the remainder of the year.
Hannah Wise
SNB sends positive signal to banks
The SNB left its main policy rate unchanged but eased the burden on banks after tweaking the threshold at which they pay negative rates on money stored with the central bank. Thomas Heller, CIO at Schwyzer Kantonalbank, explains why this is good news for banks. He does not expect the SNB to cut rates at its next meeting.
Hannah Wise
The Fed will have to go back to QE, says Julius Baer
Alarm arose inside the U.S. financial system this week after a spike in demand for short-term liquidity led the Federal Reserve to intervene in the repo market. The cash crunch can’t compare to the one that aggravated the financial crisis in 2008, says Tony Campione, investment advisor at Julius Baer in Geneva. But he sees a clear need for the Fed to reassure markets, possibly with a fresh round of quantitative easing.
Hannah Wise
ECB could delve into negative-yielding corporate bonds, says M&G
Since the last quantitative easing round, regulations blocking the ECB from buying negative-yielding corporate bonds has been lifted, paving the way for the central bank to do so as part of its newly announced 12 BN euro bond purchasing program, says M&G Investment’s Wolfgang Bauer.
Hannah Wise
A Swiss economic rebound in 2020? Not so fast, says Lombard Odier
While the Swiss government slashed its 2019 growth forecast on Tuesday to 0.8 percent, down from 1.2 percent in June, it is still expecting gross domestic product to expand 1.7 percent next year. That sounds optimistic, according to Johan Utterman, head of Swiss equities at Lombard Odier IM. He says the economy may struggle to rebound next year without government support or a favorable end to the U.S.-China trade war.
Olivia Chang
Numbrs: “The world doesn’t need another bank”
Zurich-based Numbrs is the latest Swiss start-up to join the unicorn club. Fynn Kreuz, managing partner of the fintech company, talks about expansion plans and why the Swiss firm does not yet offer services in Switzerland.
Olivia Chang
UBS expects higher oil prices after the attack
Attacks on major oil facilities in Saudi Arabia have shaken up global oil markets. Giovanni Staunovo, UBS commodity analyst, sees difficult times ahead for economies and companies depending on oil imports. And for everyday consumers, he sees gas prices rising.
Hannah Wise
What to expect this week from the SNB
In a critical month for central banks, our top analysts have been divided on how the SNB should act on its monetary policy. Some push for cuts, others for more foreign exchange intervention. One thing’s for sure: Negative rates are here to stay and they continue to dominate the conversation.
Hannah Wise
Ken Fisher: ECB stimulus is "quantitative diseasing, not easing”
The ECB’s decision to relaunch its bond purchasing program is “quantitative diseasing, not quantitative easing.” This according to Ken Fisher, investor and founder of Fisher Investments, who warns that the move will set back the European economy rather than support it.
Hannah Wise
Pension reform for top earners
Despite systematic problems and a negative interest rate environment, people should put savings in the pension system as early as possible, says Werner Rutsch, head of institutional business at AXA Investment Managers. A change in regulation will help people with higher incomes to decide on their investment strategy.
Hannah Wise
Slight ECB rate cut brings relief to Switzerland’s central bank
The European Central Bank announced a fresh stimulus package and cut its deposit rate by 10 basis points today, as it looks to support the eurozone economy. But this small adjustment, says Stefan Gerlach, EFG Bank chief economist, is likely to have a “minimal effect” for the SNB, bringing some relief ahead of its next meeting.
Olivia Chang
Swiss Bankers Association to lead debate on negative rates
Swiss banks are feeling the pain from five years of negative interest rates. Swiss Bankers Association CEO Jörg Gasser says the organization will lead the debate to try come up with a sustainable solution. “They are approaching the limit,” says Gasser, “and therefore the question needs to be tackled very seriously.”

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